Win a Seat to the SOLD OUT Star MegaDO 4 Contest

Posted by: Jason

Milesquest readers have a chance to win a seat to the next Star MegaDO4 and sit next to Randy Petersen, the founder of Flyertalk, InsideFlyer, Milepoint, and Boarding Area. The contest is sponsored by Boardingarea.

The schedule for the sold out Star MegaDo4 schedule can be found here.

The prize:
1. A reserved aisle or window seat next to Randy Petersen on the upcoming StarMegaDo 2012, hotel accommodations, and $250 for personal expenses!

In order to enter the contest, you need to do the following:

The rules:
1. Post an answer to this question in the comments section and enter your email address in the appropriate field. “Where do you foresee the frequent flyer hobby going in five years from now?
2. The “Entry Period” for the “Win a Seat with Randy Petersen” Giveaway is from 12:00:01 am Mountain Time (MT) October 1, 2012 to 11:59:59 pm MT October 7, 2012.
3. Entrants are limited to one submission per participating blog.
4. The complete rules can be found here

You can also have additional entries by leaving comments on the contest posts of these other BoardingArea blogs:

View From The Wing
One Mile at a Time
Flying With Fish
Marshall Jackson on Travel
Road Warriorette
The Wandering Aramean
Delta Points
Points, Miles and Martinis
Unroadwarrior
FrequentlyFlying
DealsWeLike
Tmtravelworld
Mommy Points
Frequent Miler
Pearls of Travel Wisdom
Live from a Lounge
AAdvantageGeek
The Skeptical Traveler
Plane ‘n Simple
Miles from Blighty
GhettoIFE
Getting Status
Rapid Travel Chai
Loyalty Traveler
Hack my Trip
Just Another Points Traveler
New Girl in the Air
Point me to the Plane

  • Mike Stuben said,

    I see the availability of points to tighten up, and the hobby will go back to rewarding those who travel the most.

  • Abhishek Duggal said,

    Viral ;)

  • HR said,

    Easily able to redeem miles on every alliance carrier online. Only United offers that luxury right now:-)

  • Harold said,

    I see the best deals becoming more hidden and/or cryptic.

  • Sice said,

    Probably pretty similar to how it is, even if the way rewards are paid out is different. There’ll always be some way to game it.

  • colleen r said,

    I unfortunately expect a lot of the big windfalls to continue disappearing. But I’ll happily be proven wrong! :)

  • HikerT said,

    Chase will continue to be aggressive with sign up bonuses and capture 90% of the churn market, then go belly up.

  • thalha said,

    miles devaluing more and more over time

  • Jason said,

    The return of the 100k offers.

  • hal said,

    Its almost like a club only a small % of the population does not want to really learn about.

  • Scott C said,

    devaluations, devaluations, devaluations

  • SC Flier said,

    We’re all going to wish for the good ol’ days when flights were cheap, and we’ll wish that we had saved more of our miles. Businesses will give discounts for paying with cash and alternative payment methods — largely destroying the mileage earning opportunities from credit card purchases. Delta’s website will still be broken.

  • Justin S. said,

    The return of BIS miles having a higher impact on your standing and earning rate then card awards and churns.

  • OG said,

    Credit Card Sign up bonuses will get progressively smaller and smaller

  • Lakshmi said,

    I see more people becoming aware of what they are missing and sign up in droves leading to more restrictions.

  • Lynn said,

    I hope it will get me to Asia in the front of the plane at 4 star hotels for two weeks. After that I don’t know.

  • David said,

    I think there will be even more creative sign up bonuses.

  • MikelinTN said,

    I fell that frequent flying as a “Hobby” will go the way of the dinosaur. Too many players will slice the pie too small.

  • Tom said,

    I see credit card bonuses coming down a bit, but still being lucrative. Enough people don’t use their miles that I think it will still be profitable for the airlines to sell points.

  • Steelsnow said,

    Devaluations, quicker IT departments for errors (redemptions and prices), and intentional flash sales of points or trips – some good and some marketed to take advantage of the Facebook ‘Me-Too!’ crowd. Oh, and a bit of industry consolidation and a fourth alliance.

  • Joseph said,

    More tiers on status

  • SonomaWine said,

    It will unfortunately be a fond memory……….

  • Sandeep said,

    more online booking of alliance partner awards, but I also fear its going to go down a more revenue based model.

  • Yj said,

    Tighten up. More ppl know about this, less fun it will become.

  • sam said,

    I am hoping these loyalty programs keep increasing….i can be loyal! Just ask my wife!!!!

  • sarah said,

    I hope the good times aren’t over …for good!!!

  • Barbara said,

    This is a wonderful hobby and i hope it only gets better.

  • Bruce said,

    Alot of mileage junkies out there…we need to help each other and not get greedy!!

  • Rick Ingersoll said,

    the “deals” will exist in private forums and clubs primarily

  • Peter said,

    It will be harder to find the prime routes in premium seats, but savvy flyers who are flexible will still get great value from their miles!

  • ashley said,

    flyers will need to be more sophisticated and resourceful and getting miles will be harder to come by.

  • Ariosto said,

    I see the flyer talk world going underground and encoding the deals as deals are becoming more scarce

  • Dan said,

    It will become less of a hobby with higher mileage redemption rates and revenue-based mileage earning.

  • kodoma said,

    Card bonuses getting smaller, and spend getting higher; Delta going the BIS/revenue route, and others following. The hotel business will still be a decent place to pick up a promo as they are not in such a race to the bottom as the airlines.

  • Chris said,

    Some really creative challenges and promos.

  • James H said,

    As airlines feel increased pressure to increase revenue, they will look to add value and amenities for business travelers to justify a rise in prices for premium seats and commuter flights. At the same time, the forward-thinking airlines will come to recognize and even embrace the frequent flying enthusiast community with specialized access and experiences to help differentiate themselves from competitors. These airlines will attempt to shift consumer priority away from pricing (cheapest ticket or lowest cpm) and augment their affinity programs. Industry consolidation will continue while discount airlines and price-sensitive consumers persist, of course; airlines will jockey for the most lucrative routes and loyal customers.

  • smitty06 said,

    deals will still come, but they will die quickly. Credit card bonuses will still be around, but for big spenders

  • Patrick said,

    Unfortunately, devaluation of miles and points increases constantly. Let’s face it, they have us hooked, and they know it.

  • Tonei G said,

    I agree that too many people figuring out the tricks will reduce the number of truly amazing bonuses, but I think airlines make enough money selling points and the credit card companies give out enough that go unused that we won’t see it going away anytime soon.

  • tiffany l said,

    i think that lucrative redemptions will become more difficult

  • WB Lee said,

    Less a hobby but more a perk of the frequent business traveller.

  • Chris said,

    If Delta succeeds in making Skypesos a revenue based program, I suspect this hobby will largely die as it will be reduced to a rebate program rather than one designed to permit price discrimination.

  • Bill H said,

    Five years is a long time. But, pessimisim aside, we are all going to keep finding ways to travel the world through incredible deals. Especially by communicating great finds instantly throughout our unique, if diverse and sometimes fragmented, community. Its always going to be too hard for the average traveller to follow this fastinating pursuit.

  • Junyang said,

    I foresee using analytics to maximize miles ;)

  • sil said,

    less availability of biz and lst class seats, less lucrative credit card bonus sign up, devaluation of air miles

  • Sara said,

    Unfortunately I see availability going down, fees going up and credit card bonus offers getting hard to get! Until then I am flying high!

  • Seth said,

    Amex to get more transfer partners or will fall prey to chase.

  • Susan said,

    Devaluation seems inevitable. For someone who doesn’t fly for business purposes it’s already pretty tough.

  • flythere said,

    Less competition and less benefits :(

  • Michael W Travels said,

    More consolidation of the airline industry making it even harder to book flights using miles.

  • LIH Prem said,

    unfortunately, more revenue based status and programs than we have today.

  • Ben Haylock (@zbender) said,

    I just see the hobbyists getting smarter, the airlines getting craftier, and another new “darknet” of frequent flying will grow.

    It’s all cyclical. Seen it before, it’ll come around again.

    Like: did you know that you used to be able to fly SYD-MEL-HBA-MEL-ADL-BNE-CNS-DRW-CNS-SYD for 20k Qantas points?

    Like: did you know there is a subset of Emirates flyers changing their names so they start with ‘Aa’ to maximise chances of op-ups, regardless of status?

  • PH said,

    The hobby will continue to evolve tremendously over much shorter periods of time than five years, that’s a long window.

  • Sarah said,

    Credit card bonuses demanding higher spends, airlines liquidating for harder redemptions, mileage requirements increasing…….somehow getting worse like the world economy and situation..therefore, carpe diiem!

  • Jason K said,

    Devaluation and less benefits offered for those who fly while people can just purchase status if they have the money.

  • DCA Rob said,

    I worry that the continued consolidation of airlines, rental car agencies, and potentially hotels will result in fewer grand opportunities. I also am concerned that awards may be taxed in the future.

  • Susan said,

    I think there will be fewer opportunities for the “Big Deals” that often come our way now. Award ticket prices are bound to go up.

  • dwh said,

    Miles will be easier to come by, but programs will devalue.

  • Biggles209 said,

    I see the airlines rewarding revenue rather than miles

  • PlatinumTraveller said,

    While credit cards are still making bank, probably about the same

  • Adam G said,

    Credit companies and Airlines are only getting tighter alliances. While the “signup-spend-mass reward” model will go away, I think the future sign-ups will be much more interesting. They need incentives more difficult to monetize. With something like Chase, I think you could even see hotel and airline blended bonuses.

  • James D said,

    I think it’s going to be more restrictive as programs start to move toward revenue based models. It’s unfortunate for those of us on a budget.

  • Travis S (Extra Pack Of Peanuts) said,

    Unforunately, I think the minimum spend for credit card bonuses will continue to go up, leading frequent flyers to find even more creative ways to make those spends. I don’t imagine that the signups will disappear, but I do think that they will take steps to make it harder to earn them.

    I also imagine that miles will continue to be devalued, meaning that you should earn to burn, and not hoard!

  • LindaRZ said,

    I can only hope that things will continue to get more and more interesting.I’m in it for the long run.

  • Rob said,

    Programs are trying to switch to revenue based models for elite status, but there should still be arbitrage opportunities for using redeemable miles/points. I think there will be less value in elite status that can’t just be purchased for a reasonable price, and I will personally have to find more value in just plain old cheap trips to exotic places.

  • Paolo S said,

    I think the best deals are gone for good, and it will be much more difficult to get some real bargain just with your points or miles.

  • Susan Lucas said,

    They are giving away too much. I see it toning down. Fly now!

  • G_G said,

    More devaluations are coming in the next 5 years :(

  • Bas said,

    I guess it will become harder and harder to get status..

  • TerryRH said,

    Steady as she goes.

  • Kenny said,

    as more people find out about it deals will become few and far between

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  • Elizabeth W. said,

    I think the avenues to get points will continue to grow, but so will the cost of awards. Mistake fares will still happen, but won’t stick around as long due to the fact that info gets around quick.

  • Jeffrey B. (The Wanderer) said,

    I think things will change quite a bit. Miles will be worth less, but those who pay attention will still find ways to travel for pennies on the dollar.

  • Daniel S. said,

    fewer participants due to harder to get rewards

  • Nathaniel said,

    Harder to get meaningful status.

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  • Kristina said,

    I think credit card churning will become much more difficult as banks increase minimum spend and crack down on true “churning.” There seems to be a new trend toward prepaid cards/gift card churning.

  • Jing Li said,

    they will probably turn into more revenue based point-earning systems. I see partners tightening up availability for first class or even business class redemption, just like what SWISS, lufthansa, and SQ are already doing. more devaluations. maybe easier miles-earning opportunities from credit cards as the economy recovers and people start to spend more.

  • Ruy said,

    Less award availability and more flyers!!

  • Aleks said,

    More creative ways for airlines to extract value from FF points/miles. This will lead to more tight integration of co-branded credit cards with the FF programs, creating pseudo-elites of the card holders.

  • carwag25 - carol k. said,

    More frequent flyer programs moving to a revenue based mileage accumulation.

  • Zach said,

    more devaluations of miles with higher fees.

  • danceflosstravel said,

    a lot less easy loop holes to earn lots of miles. Already some of the more ridiculous promotions such as getting miles for mortgages etc have gone away.

  • Gail said,

    As travel gets more and more expensive, more people will jump on the band wagon and it’s going to get more challenging in the years to come.

  • Michael H.(oldfox) said,

    Unfortunately, the banks and hotels are going to tighten up on the ways that they give out miles/points. We already see that in the “high” minimun spends required to get miles…… $10,000 in 6 months. In the future, miles/points will be awarded based more on spending habits of customers. Ughhhhh….!

  • Chris Reed said,

    Less Banks/CC perhaps …

  • meriaten long said,

    less availability of premium seats, less of a credit card bonus sign up, devaluation of air miles

  • Bri said,

    there will be more non Western people actively involved.

  • Nancy O said,

    Companies foraging the employee accounts and claiming the miles for “itself” vs. the employee being able to use the miles for personal use…or else somehow taxing the employee for the mileage usage if on personal time (unfortunately….)!

  • BothofUs2 said,

    Sadly I don’t see the hobby continuing on with the current bonus levels from the banks. I suspect the airlines will change to more of an Avios model as well, tightening things up. And fuel surcharges increasing as well. I hope I’m wrong though, and intend to ride it out as long as I can!

  • Bill N said,

    Like most, I see things getting tighter over the next five years.

  • Tim J said,

    Less lucrative as more airlines shift to revenue-based earning and burning

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  • omar g said,

    I think it is going to shift to a revenue based model

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  • Sy said,

    More deals

  • Zia said,

    I think there will be more status tiers as consolidated (huge) airlines will need to better segment out customers. I think for higher tiers perks will stay the same or get better – business travel is becoming more and more optional with technology improvements – incentives to fly and maintain loyalty will be important.

  • Deanna said,

    Devaluation of points and miles. More revenue based models for higher rewards.

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  • Kris Ziel said,

    As programs move towards revenue based, I think most of the points are going to come from on the ground activities.

  • RonR said,

    More difficult MRs due to capacity contraction.

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  • SBG said,

    More people trying to get involved in it professionally. The airlines are stratifying casual travellers more and it makes them either push for Elite or go cheapest (or loyal to LCC)

  • Joe Nevin said,

    It will become more monetized and change from a hobby to more of a business due to greater airline restrictions as the airlines also try to better monetize their business model

  • Ari said,

    Status will dilute, deals will go underground, blogs will normalize

  • Lukas Lein said,

    As the traveling companies are more and more online, error fares will be unpublished and specials used to fill the capacity or to make word of mouth promotions.

  • Jovan M said,

    Things are going to tighten up.

  • JamesP said,

    We travel hobbyists will still be flying all over the world, enjoying travel. It would help if banks would get back to some more generous card offers! Thanks for the contest.

  • Jimgotkp said,

    More creative ways of earning points/miles like what FrequentMiler is posting.

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  • Timothy said,

    I see trouble with FF programs as they really may go towards $$$

  • Megan G said,

    Frequent flying in the hobby way has gone downhill fast in the last 5 years with mergers and diminishing benefits, and I don’t suspect things to improve for us in the next five. Creativity is the key now.

  • Nancy H said,

    The loopholes and amazing deals will likely tighten, but I hope things stay close to the current norm. Fingers crossed!

  • Crash said,

    First class award flights will disappear and devaluation of points/miles

  • Chris said,

    About the same. Earn ‘em fast, spend ‘em fast.

  • gleasonja said,

    Probably revenue-based rewards instead of mileage-based awards and severely de-valued awart charts; looking at a depression soon =(

  • Yigal said,

    staying the way it was always was havaing great value

  • John said,

    First Class awards will be a distant memory as this class of service is phased out.

  • Mark The Shark said,

    I think credit card bonuses will increasingly have higher spend limits, and some airlines will revert to a revenue based system instead of a mileage system, but many airlines will keep the current system which offers great value, especially for premium cabins.

  • Suzanne W said,

    credit cards will stil offer bonuses although restrict churning – awards will be tighter with less inventory and cost more

  • Susan N said,

    Status will all be revenue based and churning will be very difficult to do.

  • Martin Williams said,

    The Airlines will continue to give higher priority and status to those who SPEND more.

  • hulagrrl210 said,

    I see me not playing anymore as I hope to make Million Miler before then…but who am I kidding. I’ll just find a new airline ;)

  • Jordan said,

    Award prices going up, mileage earning rates going down, lower credit card bonuses…

  • Andrew C said,

    More revenue-based programs, but still plenty of opportunities around, particularly from foreign programs.

  • Vince S said,

    Awards will move towards evenue based awards versus mileage based. Credit cards will probably offer smaller initial bonus but also offer a bonus for renewing your annual fee.

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  • barelyelite said,

    In a transitional phase with airlines converting to revenue-based programs. Will be a much different game.

  • Yana K said,

    Credit card sign up bonanza going away.

  • the fifth amendment said,

    more revenue oriented unless everybody gets together to really protest

  • Jrey said,

    I shared tips on spending miles with a stranger last flight last week. We have become friends and found out that we have something in common in term of research/work!

  • Jonathan said,

    I see the values being significantly reduced

  • Danny said,

    Will go two ways. Airlines will go with big spenders, two different type. Big spenders in travel, and big spenders of credit card spends.

    Their money making model has changed, they can make money either way. So, they will push both way.

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  • Lori B said,

    Unfortunately, I think it will be harder and harder to get great deals

  • Mark S. said,

    More airlines moving to revenue-based frequent flier programs and much less lucrative redemption opportunities.

  • James M said,

    I believe that there will be a period of lower bonuses and higher spend until one of the CC issuers drops a big bonus to grab as much business as possible and then it will be crazy competition for a while. I hope.

  • Abrar K said,

    Cover all the Continents

  • Natalie M said,

    I think that we will see more attempts at taxing of miles and points. The government loves to get more money.

  • David said,

    Unfortunately I am not optimistic about the future of FF programs or the FF/miles/points hobby. I see more of these programs becoming revenue driven rather than loyalty driven.

  • Andy Nguyen said,

    Many programs will turn into revenue based. Award availability will be worse for alliance members and better for the program’s own members

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  • Dennis said,

    The best days are behind but plenty of new adventures ahead!

  • Tracie said,

    I see an evolution where money will be rewarded more so than loyalty – meaning, airlines will continue to rewards flyers, but the ones who bring them the most profit rather than volume. Hopefully, if this were to happen, it won’t be at a greater loss for those of us who truly do like flying and could use the extra incentives!

  • Shannon M. said,

    I see the redemption threshold raised and revenue spenders getting more access to earning points. Definitely more co-branding partnerships taking place.

  • Tina said,

    Mile de-value.

  • Babs said,

    I see a continuation of the bonus miles because credit cards are lucrative for banks but award tickets becoming increasingly hard to get.

  • John B said,

    With less airlines [mergers, etc]the airlines may not need loyalty. Credit cards, however, will stick with what works.

  • Jeanne M said,

    I see increasing difficulty in collecting points and miles.

  • Gee K. said,

    I think the interest in FFP programs will decrease except to those who are truly devoted, as miles/ points devalue and rewards become harder to redeem.

  • Doreen d said,

    Higher minimum spend for bonus miles/points

  • Erik E said,

    I see it getting more expensive as carriers continue to consolidate and find that can offer less to maintain the rolls of their most frequent fliers. It will be interesting to see if Virgin or Jet Blue become players in the frequent flier game . . .

  • Eric said,

    CC bonuses

  • Larry L (In NYC) said,

    Sadly, I expect the airlines to much better align awards to actual passenger value by introducing revenue based earning and more expensive premium redemption. It will be harder for infrequent fliers with only average spending to rake in enough points for premium travel.

  • Joe N said,

    I can’t see it going any way besides becoming more difficult. Awards and status will become more dependent on revenue than other factors, and signup bonuses for cards will probably become less lucrative for churners.

  • TrunkSpace said,

    I see credit card bonus becoming more stable at c.30k with higher minimum spends. Are amazing offers will be quickly pulled as too many people hear about them fast BUT competition will still exist and genuine frequent fliers will be rewarded

  • Flamingo said,

    devaluations

  • John B said,

    Sadly, I think miles will be more linked to the price of the ticket. I could see a combination formula being used, but that would be far too complicated for even very savvy frequent flyers to plan mile earning extras. The airlines are now earning money even in a bad economy. They are not satisfied with those earnings that are now are close to what the airlines made in the 1990s. So cutting miles rewarded to occasional travellers is next. Right now, the only way for airlines to keep high revenue flyers is thru the loyalty programs.

  • MM said,

    don’t expect many changes. miles for a variety of things. award charts increase overtime (simple inflation really). flashes of big miles promotions that last a short period.

  • Eric W said,

    I see higher redemption rates in 5 years

  • deanna c said,

    rising cost of award tickets makes earning points even more difficult!

  • Jake said,

    I think it will be much difficult to find availability and redeem points

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